Doug Bedell — May 11, 2006, 12:42 pm

Terrorism Likely for ‘Years to Come’

In its terrorism trends report for 2005, the National Counterterrorism Center (NCTC) concludes that the U.S. “is still in the first phase of a potentially long war. The enemy’s proven ability to adapt means we will probably go through several more cycles of action/reaction before the war’s outcome is no longer in doubt. It is likely that we will face a resilient enermy for years to come.”

In other words, don’t let your guard down.

Whether or not it is appropriate to refer to the terrorism scene as a “war,” the world scene is unsettled enough to insure there will be a need for vigilance and effective counter actions for, as the NCTC puts it, “years to come”.

There were 11,111 terrorist attacks worldwide in 2005, 30 percent of them in Iraq, according to the NCTC’s tally. It isn’t possible accurately to compare this total to 2004 because the Center used a more encompassing data-gathering approach in 2005. But, broadly, attacks last year increased markedly.

The Security Management Weekly May 5 online newsletter advises that: “The (NCTC) report notes that although “Al Qaeda is no longer as effective as it once was, important members of the group remain alive and are adjusting to the United States’ ‘operational tempo’.”

The NCTC is in the Office of the Director of National Intelligence. Its report was released with the State Department’s Country Reports on Terrorism.

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